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UTX stock analysis (iching analysis)

long yi

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Query: Company UTX stock value and investing potential
UTX is publicly traded company. After evaluation of the information in the public domain, the general conclusion is the company pays too much for the proposed acquisition of Rockwell. There are three days of unusual volume change (Sept 5 14.28 million, close: 111.21; Sept 14, 7 million, low: 110.01, Sept 15, 6.5 million, close 113.08). The current price as of Sept 22 is 115.01).
The business issue is whether the stock can move up in October, November and December 2017 and whether 115.0 is a good price for purchase. Common sense dictates that the stock value is too high at 115 USD.

Our Iching reading resulted in Hex 3.3 to hex 63.
Hex 3
3.6 - brother zi water; 63.6 - brother zi water
3.5 + officer xu earth (guest); 63.5 - officer xu earth
3.4 - parent shen metal; 63.4 + parent shen metal
3.3 - officer chen earth (hidden: wealth line wu fire) → 63.3 brother hai water
3.2 - child yin wood (host); 63.2 officer chou earth
3.1 + brother zi water; 63.1 child mao wood

Time paramters:
Year: you metal (hollow root: chen earth, si fire)
Month: you metal (hollow root: yin wood, mao wood)
Day: chou earth (hollow root: yin wood, mao wood).

Tai Shing Iching analysis method:
There is no wealth line in the main hexagram and transformed hexagram. Therefore, it is no money, no funny. There is no wealth.
The child line at 3.2 (capital) is the host line. It is yin wood which is day void and month void. There is no seed capital.
3.3 officer chen earth transformed into 63.3 brother hai water.

Long Yi Iching's teaching (unpublished book):
[247] Officer → brother; this is a price dropping market because the officer suppresses the brother line from producing capital. (a) officer → brother; price fluctuation; (b) ghost → brother; major drop in price because ghost (the dark side of officer line) means stealing funds to hinder the brother's activity to produce capital.
[248] Officer → brother; this is not a favorable situation because officer suppresses brother, the forces are not united, there is competition in selling, leading to losses.
This implies no gain in upward price movement at the time of the reading.
However, by Sunday and Monday, the yin wood, mao wood day comes back. The capital is no longer day void. It may be better for the market and price.

What does the web business information says:
Quote
Trend: A break up at the top trend line at $116.75 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.67%during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $97.17 and $105.46 at the end of this period.
Signals: Since the long term average is above the short-term average there is a general sales signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $115.08. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $113.75.
Unquote

Back to Iching
Iching Text analysis
Long Yi Iching's teaching (unpublished book):
Hex 3: 3. Chun (difficult at the beginning) is water above thunder: Price adjustment, no trend for advance or retreat. Difficult to predict outcome.
Inauspicious. Market downturn, the opportune moment is not there. One must be careful in selecting the investment and time of buying.
3.3 The stock market is moving up , but do not rush to buy. One should consult the view of professional to avoid financial losses.
Hex 63: After completion is water above fire. The price move upwards and the conditions are favorable. The price will peak.

Plum Blossom iching analysis
Hex 3 is kan water (upper) and zhen wood (lower)
Hex 63 is kan water (upper) and li fire (lower).
Li fire is the transformed trigram and is suppressed by the kan water in the stationary trigram.

When the stationary trigram suppresses the transformed hexagram, this means there is a short term gain financially if the stock is bought a low price and sell back quickly at a higher price. The timing is not now because kan water is water and requires metal or water day. Further analysis is required.

Xiao Shing Iching analysis method for longer or middle term potential

The hexagram 3.3 to 63 is transformed into the iching 9 houses.
House of five is hexagram 20, the chi points downwards in both trigram. This means longer term, price goes down.

House of 4 (sun) contains ken trigram (upper): hexagram 18. The chi are pulling apart. There is no money in the medium and long term at present.

Long Yi Iching mathematical computation using reported stock data on UTX.
The mathematical method is developed by Long Yi and is not disclosed here.
The hexagram is hex 9.

Long Yi Iching's teaching (unpublished book):

This means stock market outlook gloomy.
9 Auspicious. One should be satisfied with making a small fortune, while others has very bad financial fortune. So one should be happy and contended with the current stage and await the next opportunity. By strengthening oneself in the meantime, one will be rewarded with bigger gains.

9 Auspicious. The stock market rose slightly, but the profits were limited and it was advisable to make small investments.
9.6 One can profit from the stock market, but one needs to be carefully considered whether one should continue to invest.

At the end of this analysis, the risk is high on the gain side (may drop back $3-4 with time) and there is no real big gain (at least 5% gain) on the buy side at US$115 because the stock has been up for at least four days. It is time to stop this stock evaluation. There are better stocks to choose from before October.
 

long yi

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Original Reading parameters
Our Iching reading resulted in Hex 3.3 to hex 63.
Hex 3
3.6 - brother zi water; 63.6 - brother zi water
3.5 + officer xu earth (guest); 63.5 - officer xu earth
3.4 - parent shen metal; 63.4 + parent shen metal
3.3 - officer chen earth (hidden: wealth line wu fire) change to 63.3 brother hai water
3.2 - child yin wood (host); 63.2 officer chou earth
3.1 + brother zi water; 63.1 child mao wood

Time paramters:
Year: you metal (hollow root: chen earth, si fire)
Month: you metal (hollow root: yin wood, mao wood)
Day: chou earth (hollow root: yin wood, mao wood).

Please note that Sept 28 2017 is the day of wu fire.
3.3 - officer chen earth (hidden: wealth line wu fire) → 63.3 brother hai water
The wealth line is shown on the day of wu fire.

UTX has a buy rating since Sept 28 2017, five days after this reading is posted (Sept 23).
02-Oct-17 117.58 2,177,500 (vol)
29-Sep-17 116.08 3,270,400 (vol)
28-Sep-17 115.84 6,029,200 (vol)
And a proposed resistence of 118.52

More than normal trading was observed on the day of wu fire (same as the iching reading when money shows).

This validated the above reading of the wealth line.

The bottom line: Is it worth to invest 115.50 x 100 = USD$11550 + 10 commission to earn 11758 - 10 commission for UTX. The profit is only $248 dollars.

If the same funds is invested in one of the Canadian Banks such as TD Bank over the same period (safer bank stock), the return is about $310 after commission for roughly the same capital. This is a matter of judgment.

As mentioned, hidden wealth line (no money) until such time the money shows up under the day commander (same 5 element and root) as the hidden wealth line.

From the theoretical perspective, you will notice that
3.3 - officer chen earth (hidden: wealth line wu fire) → 63.3 brother hai water
In the month of you metal, the you metal month couples to the officer chen earth, hindering it from the transformation.

By theory: [246] Officer change to brother; this is a price dropping market because the officer suppresses the brother line from producing capital. However, when the officer is tied down by coupling to the month you metal. Thus it cannot suppresses the brother line. One should remember text analysis without time domain analysis can often be wrong.

If officer line is not functional in the time domain, then market did not drop, By Wu fire day, stock gets a buy rating with price moving up in the next few days.

October 9 is the xu earth month, it (xu earth) activates the officer line chen earth into motion: officer produces brother, suppresses capital.
However, it is the si fire day. The Oct 10 is also the wu fire day (wealth hidden line wu fire).
It will be interesting to find out what happens.
We will wait and see what happens in the days ahead (xu earth month, wu fire day - October 10)
 

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