Clarity,
Office 17622,
PO Box 6945,
London.
W1A 6US
United Kingdom
hilary
Administrator
- Joined
- Apr 8, 1970
- Messages
- 22,418
- Reaction score
- 5,272
I’ve been reading Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely, and just reached the chapter on the power of expectations to change perception. The introductory example comes from sport: the supporters of two rival teams watch the same key, game-deciding moment, and for one of them the ball (or player, or something – it’s American football, so it’s all Greek to me…) is obviously conspicuously in, and for the other it’s just as obviously out.
“Although both friends were watching the same game, they were doing so through markedly different lenses. One saw the pass as in bounds. The other saw it as out. In sports, such arguments are not particularly damaging – in fact, they can be fun. The problem is that these same biased processes can influence how we experience other aspects of our world. These biased processes are in fact a major source of escalation in almost every conflict…”
This will all sound very familiar to anyone who’s read Hexagram 38, Opposing:
‘Opposing.
Small affairs, good fortune.’
Opposing and Diverging has to do with differences in vision – ‘looking askance’, in LiSe’s translation: watching the same things through different lenses, and seeing something different. This is good fortune in small affairs, such as sport; not good in great affairs, such as international conflicts.
The chapter also describes various experiments designed to show how expectations ‘program’ us to perceive differently – and also, interestingly enough, to discover ways that such programming could be overcome.
For instance, it turns out that the flavour of a certain beer can be improved by the addition of a few drops of balsamic vinegar. Offer people the original and improved versions in a blind taste test, and they tend to prefer the one with vinegar. Tell them in advance that one glass contains vinegar, and they tend to find it revolting. But tell them about the added vinegar after they’ve tried the beer, and they still like it.
So if you remove the context of expectations,* perceptions become clearer. Presumably if the two sports fans had been unable to identify which team was which, they’d have agreed about where the ball (or the player) landed.
I think this casts new light on 38.2 -
‘Meeting a master in the lane.
Not a mistake.’
This line hasn’t overcome the power of expectations to bias vision altogether – that happens in line 6, I think, where defences are lowered and apparent robbers turn out to be potential allies. Instead, it’s removed the context that sets expectations: the lane is a neutral place, nobody’s home ground, free from formalities and rules. This line’s zhi gua (the hexagram it moves to) is 21, Biting Through: it represents the most direct way to overcome the gulf of separation in 38, creating unity and insight. What you encounter here might still be quite different, even alien to you, but in the absence of preconceptions it can be a master and guide.
“Although both friends were watching the same game, they were doing so through markedly different lenses. One saw the pass as in bounds. The other saw it as out. In sports, such arguments are not particularly damaging – in fact, they can be fun. The problem is that these same biased processes can influence how we experience other aspects of our world. These biased processes are in fact a major source of escalation in almost every conflict…”
This will all sound very familiar to anyone who’s read Hexagram 38, Opposing:
‘Opposing.
Small affairs, good fortune.’
Opposing and Diverging has to do with differences in vision – ‘looking askance’, in LiSe’s translation: watching the same things through different lenses, and seeing something different. This is good fortune in small affairs, such as sport; not good in great affairs, such as international conflicts.
The chapter also describes various experiments designed to show how expectations ‘program’ us to perceive differently – and also, interestingly enough, to discover ways that such programming could be overcome.
For instance, it turns out that the flavour of a certain beer can be improved by the addition of a few drops of balsamic vinegar. Offer people the original and improved versions in a blind taste test, and they tend to prefer the one with vinegar. Tell them in advance that one glass contains vinegar, and they tend to find it revolting. But tell them about the added vinegar after they’ve tried the beer, and they still like it.
So if you remove the context of expectations,* perceptions become clearer. Presumably if the two sports fans had been unable to identify which team was which, they’d have agreed about where the ball (or the player) landed.
I think this casts new light on 38.2 -
‘Meeting a master in the lane.
Not a mistake.’
This line hasn’t overcome the power of expectations to bias vision altogether – that happens in line 6, I think, where defences are lowered and apparent robbers turn out to be potential allies. Instead, it’s removed the context that sets expectations: the lane is a neutral place, nobody’s home ground, free from formalities and rules. This line’s zhi gua (the hexagram it moves to) is 21, Biting Through: it represents the most direct way to overcome the gulf of separation in 38, creating unity and insight. What you encounter here might still be quite different, even alien to you, but in the absence of preconceptions it can be a master and guide.
And especially line 2 - meeting a potential suitor in the lane? New and interesting idea, and why not?